Archive | 2012 Republican nomination

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Random thoughts after reading Jay Root’s book

Yesterday, I downloaded Oops!, Jay Root’s new book about Rick Perry’s presidential campaign. It’s a good, easy read, and is based on the diary Jay kept during his travels with Governor Perry’s RMS Titanic-like effort.

Here are my 11 take-aways after reading it:

1. Jay Root has apparently bought everybody in America except me a drink this year, and I’m somewhat bitter about that.

2. It’s really fascinating reading a book in which I know almost every character.

3. The smart, hard-working Carrie Dann of NBC news is every bit as worthy of my longstanding crush as I suspected. Also, if my “Women of the 2012 Presidential Republican Primary Press Bus” calendar idea ever takes off, she’ll be rich, rich, I tell you.

4. Jay Root really needs to see somebody about his persistent travel anxiety.

5. The longtime Perry folks, many of whom I know well, hardly ever agree with on policy, and genuinely like anyway (sorry Democrats – get over it) got screwed even harder than I suspected at the time.

6. Texas Tribune staff really should consider unionizing. Apparently Evan Smith is working them half to death.

7. Rick and Anita Perry probably learned a lot from the experience, which may make the Governor a more formidable candidate in the future.

8. And that worries me.

9. A lot.

10. Sleep apnea? Seriously? Are you sure there wasn’t some Restless Leg Syndrome going on too?

11. if you’re a political nerd like me, you should buy the book.

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Political convention wrap-up in Texas

Both political parties in Texas hosted their state conventions this weekend. I thought as a service to you, the crap-reading public, I would give a quick re-cap of each:

The Democrats:

Elected a new chairman.
Asked Kirk Watson a lot of questions.
Didn’t stay long after checking in.
Passed a platform delegates seem happy with.
Asked Kirk Watson a lot more questions.
Started blaming the new chairman for stuff before they even got out the door.
Complained about the Houston humidity.
Defended Houston’s humidity (Houston delegates only).
Seemed bored Friday night.
Seemed to have a pretty good time anyway.
Confounded reporters looking for actual news.

The Republicans:

Boo’ed Rick Perry.
Boo’ed David Dewhurst.
Boo’ed the people booing Rick Perry and David Dewhurst.
Shhhh’ed the people booing the people booing Rick Perry and David Dewhurst.
Boo’ed Ted Cruz, sort of.
Claimed that nobody boo’ed anybody.
Heard 1,284 speeches about how Obama sucks.
Forgot to boo undocumented aliens, but only for a moment.
Seemed bored Friday night.
Seemed to have a pretty good time anyway.
Confounded reporters looking for actual news, except the boo’ing part.

This has been your Letters From Texas political convention wrap-up.

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Notes on the Texas primary elections

Texas politicos waited so long to have a primary election that it seems completely anti-climatic now that it’s over. But at least for the truly-addicted like me (wipe that smug look off your face – like you too), we now begin the 9-week primary run-off period.

Some interesting doings from last night:

– while I’m not yet convinced that House Speaker Joe Straus is in trouble, last night’s results at the least put some air under the wings of those who hope to cause him trouble. Several of his House BFFs were defeated, and several more got the bejesus scared out of ‘em.

– it will never be enough for the right-wing conservatives. Do you see the pattern emerging? Here it is: conservative Republican defeats incumbent Democrat. In the following election, second way-conservative Republican beats first conservative Republican, since the first conservative now has an actual voting record. Will it soon be that the new-and-improved definition of “conservative” is “non-incumbent nobody”?

– wow, what a bad night for Texans for Lawsuit Reform. Yep, they won some. But they themselves staked out the marque race they wanted as the latest proxy war with their enemies, the challenge to Senate district 25 incumbent Jeff Wentworth, they picked their candidate, and they gave her bajillions. She didn’t make the run-off.

– Party switching is SO 2008.  Four formerly-Democratic state House members had switched parties over the last couple of years. As of today, only one is sure to survive. Aaron Pena wasn’t even on the ballot. Chuck Hopson, who looked like a goner most of the night, is on life support in a run-off election. Same situation with J.M. Lozano. Only Allan Ritter seems to have survived quite nicely from his ordeal. In the case of Hopson and Ritter, had they not switched parties, they almost surely would have been defeated as Democrats anyway. But in future elections, I’m guessing incumbents will think longer and harder when the other Party comes knocking, because the switcharoo has proven to be a tough deal as well.

– Good news: the AFL-CIO endorsement is still powerful medicine around these parts, as witnessed by the Democratic primary for US Senate. Bad news: so it mistaken identity. There were four candidates in the Senate race, and none of them raised any money to speak of. That means virtually no meaningful communications with voters happened. Thus, in the run-up to last night, there were only two things that happened in that race in which any of them had any hope of getting voters’ attention: the televised debate in which all the credible candidates of both parties were invited to participate, and the AFL-CIO endorsement. Of the four Democrats, only Sean Hubbard and Paul Sadler were invited to debate. When the smoke cleared last night, it was clear that not only did the debate mean nothing, it meant less-than-nothing, and Sean Hubbard (who had impressed me so much in the debate that I voted for him) came up a little short was dead last. In the good news department, Paul Sadler, the one with the AFL-CIO endorsement, led voting, and it wasn’t even close. In the bad news department, Democrats have apparently now traded in their long-standing habit of voting for a guy mistaken for dead dancer Gene Kelly, in favor of voting for a guy mistaken for legendary dead Senator Ralph Yarborough – Sadler will face Grady Yarbrough in the run-off. Meanwhile, when was the last time a candidate whom media didn’t even invite to a debate end up placing in the money? Congratulations to Paul Sadler, and congratulations to the AFL-CIO, in a clear demonstration that the good guys’ support still means a lot.

– Speaking of celebrity mistaken identities, things must not be that bad, since a guy named Daniel Boone running in a Democratic Congressional primary lost handily.

– God help the guy who told David Dewhurst that if he just pulled that extra few million out of his pocket, he’d win without a runoff. Similarly, God help Dewhurst if, after his peeps telling him that a few more million would be necessary, he replied that he thought he already had it in the bag. I bet the U.S. Senate run-off between The Dew and Ted Cruz ends up being a $15 million investment for Dewhurst, at least. Also, since neither one of these guys has uttered a true word about the other one in at least two weeks, how bad will the lies get over the next nine? I’m sure both were on the phone with Tom Leppert late last night, trying to get Leppert’s endorsement, and presumably his 13-ish percent of the vote. Also, big congrats to Craig James for becoming the Republican Sean Hubbard – lots of motion, ultimately little progress.

– Go look at the current membership of the House Public Education Committee. Between retirements and defeats last night, things sure are getting lonesome.

What tidbits did I miss?

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Ron Paul’s problem

After Congressman Ron Paul essentially suspended campaigning yesterday, I defaulted to the theory that it was probably a pre-consession prior to the May 22nd primary in Kentucky, where his son Rand is apparently some sort of BFD. Embarrassing Rand is probably not high on Ron Paul’s list of things to do. It would make Thanksgiving at the Paul household really awkward.

Ron Paul: Asylum Warden?

Add to that the embarrassing state Republican conventions recently in several states, in which unruly Ron Paul delegates took over the place, to the embarrassment of Mitt Romney’s supporters. Romney’s son Josh was even boo’ed off the stage by Paul delegates at the Arizona Republican State Convention last Saturday.

Now Politico has revealed a Paul campaign memo which bolsters the point: Ron Paul’s move to ratchet the campaign down a few notches is clearly designed to be a signal to his supporters that he wants his folks to be positive and constructive as Republicans head to the Republican National Convention in Tampa.

Ron Paul has an itty bitty problem: his supporters may well be in no mood to be constructive.

Paul has nobody to blame but himself if the Paulistas show up in Tampa ready to tear the place up. A successful insurgency campaign always gathers few supporters aside from the insurgents, and Paul’s move toward Republican unity may well be one his followers choose not to follow.

There may not be much tension or drama at the Democratic National Convention, set to re-nominate a sitting President, but hang onto your hats in Tampa – the Republicans may still be in for a bumpy ride. And it will be a serious test for Ron Paul to see if he can control the inmates, in the asylum he himself created.

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Q. how can you tell there’s a Republican Presidential primary election in Alabama today?

A.  this is certainly one clear indication.

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Actually, there’s a certain logic to this

Especially if you’re a Saturday Night Live writer. They, of course, would be near the front of the line to want Rick Perry to rejoin the race for President.

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Just when things can’t get any worse for Republicans, it does

I won’t belabor the take-aways from yesterday’s Super Tuesday results, except to echo the basics, all of which have been prognosticated about incessantly just about everywhere:

– yesterday was supposed to be about Ohio, and it was.

– Romney won Ohio

– Romney won butt-ugly, and will continue to do so in coming weeks, until either Gingrich (presumably) or Santorum (doubtfully) exits the race

– the upcoming primary schedule isn’t particularly kind to Romney, so this rough-and-tumble primary process is likely to continue, and likely to continue to badly hurt Republicans’ odds of faring very well this November

– in case you have any remaining doubt as to how bad this situation has become for Republicans, guess who’s talking about perhaps becoming the solution to this problem? Come on, just guess.

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Scorekeeping the Republican nomination, and the national media – tonight’s results

The one and only car race I ever attended, at Texas Motor Speedway, ended up being a total cluster-eff.

Apparently the race officials lost track of the number of laps run. As a result, the driver who thought he’d won drove into the winner’s circle, only to be followed by the next driver across the finish line whose crew had tabulated laps independently of race officials and thought he’d won instead, due to the fact that the first guy across the finish line had apparently been lapped hours before by the second guy. That’s when the two drivers promptly got into a fistfight, which of course to me was the most entertaining part of the race. Race officials had to consult whatever such race officials consult, then were forced to admit they’d checker flagged the wrong car, and declared a different winner.

That situation may be a close parallel to reporting the results of tonight’s Republican Presidential primary tonight, with returns coming in from Arizona and Michigan – and perhaps more importantly, how national media score the results.

In fact, despite everything you’ve heard to the contrary, Mitt Romney has probably already won the night handily, unless he confounds pollsters and fails to win in Arizona. But the Presidential campaigns are so sure that Romney has won Arizona that all those campaigns broke camp and left the state forever as soon as last week’s debate in Mesa was over.

But the fact is, if everybody’s right and Romney wins Arizona as expected, but narrowly loses Michigan which is a toss-up, Romney is still a huge winner tonight by the measure that really counts: delegates.

The possible disconnect: I wonder if it will be reported that way by national news organizations, who tend toward the more interesting, and more squishy measure: momentum.

Here’s the deal: Arizona, with 29 delegates, is a winner-take-all state. Michigan, with only one more delegate, will allocate its 30 delegates proportionally, based on the winner in each congressional district.

Here’s the math: Assume Romney carries Arizona. Over in Michigan, whether he wins or loses, in a closely-divided (by congressional district) outcome, he’ll split that state’s delegates. So even if Romney has a “bad” night and “loses” Michigan, he’ll net 40-43ish delegates to Santorum’s net 16-19ish delegates tonight, even as Santorum is claiming “victory.”

For Santorum to have a real victory, he must confound all the pollsters and beat Romney in Arizona, which would reverse the above delegate math to Santorum’s advantage. It would certainly surprise Arizona Republicans, however.

Will the national media accurately characterize the results that way – that Romney wins the night, despite a narrow loss in Michigan? Or will they ignore the delegate math, play the expectations game, and talk about “Santorum’s surprising momentum?”

The media characterization may well be more important than the actual results tonight, because tonight’s results will be the run-up to next Tuesday’s big show, in which ten states will weigh in. Those states include Gingrich’s home state of Georgia with 76 delegates, the battleground of Ohio with 66 delegates, and Tennessee and Virginia with 58 and 50 delegates, respectively.

Throat-clearing season is over, folks; the real discussion has begun. We’ll find out tonight which driver the national media steers into the winner’s circle.

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The long, brutal road ahead for the Republican nomination

While onlookers await next week’s contests in Michigan and Arizona to see who the clear frontrunner for the Republican nomination for President will be, let’s also keep in mind the longer view beyond. When you look at the math, it looks downright depressing for Republicans.

The Republican election calendar and delegate selection rules are set up assuming that somebody will start running away with it relatively early in the process. But nobody has. Romney, Gingrich, and Santorum have all won states. All three, plus Ron Paul and Jon Huntsman, have amassed delegates.

But the devil is in those delegate counts, and when you look at the election calendar, it appears that it may be a very long time until the Republicans are able to stop bickering among themselves, and instead turn their attentions to President Obama.

Here’s why:

The winning number of delegates at the Republican National Convention is 1,144. Currently, Romney has an estimated 111, Santorum 44, Gingrich 30, and Paul 15. A growing number of states’ Republican nominating process rules are not winner-take-all (although upcoming Arizona is), so as long as Romney can’t shake Santorum or Gingrich, his delegate count is unlikely to grow as fast as he would like. And if Santorum wins either Michigan or Arizona next week, then Romney is in real trouble, but then Santorum moves into the delegate math hell himself.

The key to the lack of closure in the race is as much about what isn’t happening as what is: big key states not playing ’til late.

Texas, whose primaries are now delayed until at least May 29th because of redistricting uncertainties, allocates 155 delegates. California, which allocates 172, isn’t until June. Those two states alone account for about 25 percent of the delegates needed to win the nomination.

Add to that Pennsylvania, Santorum’s home state. Their primary date was originally scheduled for April 24th, but since they’re in a similar redistricting situation to Texas at the moment, many believe their primary will be rescheduled until a later date as well. They allocate 72 delegates.

These three states alone account for 35 percent of the delegates needed to win at the Republican convention. Yikes.

It’s tempting for Republicans to dismiss the perils of a protracted primary season, since four years ago we Democrats had one ourselves, and it obviously didn’t hinder our ability to win the general election. But there is a key difference: four years ago, Democratic primary voters had trouble making up their minds between Obama and Clinton because each were candidates who Democratic primary voters widely adored, or at least respected. This time, the Republicans see each of their four remaining choices as fundamentally flawed damaged goods, and they’re struggling to decide which is the least of their evils.

The longer the Republicans take to settle on a nominee, the longer they will continue to hammer on each other, and the longer they’ll continue to debate issues considered long-settled by general election voters, but which excite the extreme wing of the Republican base. That’s what the silly birth control debate is about. It may help a candidate get the edge with primary voters, but there’s no doubt it’s hurting them in November.

Ironically, Newt Gingrich, the guy nobody’s talking about at the moment, may hold the key. Gingrich’s continued candidacy is the main reason Santorum isn’t running away with the nomination these days, since he’s helping to split the “Not Romney” vote. In that light, it wouldn’t surprise me if Romney calls Gingrich every night, promising him the VP slot if he stays in, and Santorum calls Gingrich every night, promising the same slot if he withdraws.

If there’s anything Gingrich understands, it’s how to leverage the cards he’s dealt. No matter who wins Michigan and Arizona next week – Romney or Santorum – look for all eyes in the Republican establishment to look toward Gingrich after the results come in.

And the longer the Republican primary season trudges on, the more the Republican establishment groans in despair, and the wider the smiles in the White House will become.

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The dangers of the protracted Republican nomination process

Interesting intramural discussion going on at the moment among Republican candidates for President. They are so locked into their primary battles that they’ve forgotten all about mainstream general election voters.

They’re fighting over birth control – as in keeping women separated from it – which is a stinker of an issue for an overwhelming majority of general election voters. They’re pretending to support the Catholic Church, which long ago lost the support of even their own members on the issue. What they’re really doing is trying desperately to find something bad to say about the President’s move to ensure that birth control is covered under health insurance policies.

What the Republicans running for President are accomplishing, however, is alienating a wide swath of voters, in the process of sucking up to the only narrow segment they’re each battling over at the moment: Republican activists. It’s one key reason why, the longer the Republican nomination is in question, the better position President Obama will be.

Scott Braddock and I discussed this on News92FM this morning. Give it a listen.

And while we’re on the subject, if you live in the Houston area and haven’t given News92 FM a try yet, you’re really missing out. Check them out. What a concept, Houston: an actual news station on Houston radio that isn’t drowned out by right-wing wacko content and nationally syndicated audio junk food.

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Buzz from the TV show

On this week’s Capital Tonight show on YNN Austin, I was asked about the Presidential nominating process moving forward into Texas. However, I got on a roll and forgot all about the “Texas” part of it, probably because nobody has a clue as to when the Texas primary will be.

But I left little doubt that I believe Romney’s falter means the Republicans are in disarray.

You can catch Capital Tonight on Thursdays at 6:30 and 10 pm, and Sundays at 11 am on YNN Austin, on the Texas Channel in other Texas media markets (Time-Warner channel 888 in most markets), and you can watch the entire show online any ol’ time you want.

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Republicans’ really crappy terrible horrible week

I trust others besides me have noticed that the last week or so has been the worst for conservative Republicans since Barack Obama won the Presidency in 2008?

It started last week when the Komen Foundation, at the behest of right-wingers so dead-set against Planned  Parenthood, one of the nation’s leading health care providers to women, tried to screw the organization out of breast cancer screening funds, and in the process only succeeding in destroying their own good brand. Komen is still writhing around in the muck, trying to salvage what little is left of their organization, without much success. Planned Parenthood, meanwhile, has raised millions in extra funding and will undoubtedly step up, not cut back, on breast cancer screenings and other crucial preventive health care services.

Score: right-wing Republicans: 0, everybody else: 1

Next, the new job numbers came out. Turns out that despite Congressional Republicans’ best efforts to block as much of the President’s plan to right the economy as they can, the Obama administration’s efforts have been humming right along, and there is new optimism that the economy is going in the right direction, after years of worry. Suddenly the people who have tried for two years to pin the unemployment picture on Obama were arguing that presidents don’t really affect employment anyway, so it’s irrelevant. Right.

Score: right-wing Republicans: 0, everybody else: 2

In another development which is undoubtedly directly attributable to the news on jobs, National polling immediately showed an up-tick in Obama’s support, for the first time opening up some daylight in the theoretical general election match-ups, and showing Obama beating Mitt Romney in November.

Score: right-wing Republicans: 0, everybody else: 3

But speaking of front-runner Mitt “pink slip” Romney, funny thing happened on the way to the Republican nominating process yesterday in Colorado, Minnesota, and Missouri. Romney didn’t win any of them. Neither did the self-proclaimed conservative alternative to Romney, Newt “vagina whisperer” Gingrich. Instead, back-bencher Rick Santorum won them all, in a stinging rebuke of virtually every big money Republican funder and every establishment Republican leader, except for the evangelical leadership most out of tune with general election voters.

After Romney’s big come-back in Florida, Romney had about ten days to consolidate his support into a national movement. And with all the money and organization in the world to do so, he failed. Gingrich, being the chief architect of his own demise, has made himself seem qualified to be nothing more than the governor of our newest state, the moon. Which left Santorum to reap the benefit of one of the biggest leadership voids to hit the Republican Party since Herbert Hoover.

Score: right-wing Republicans: 0, everybody else: 4

So where do they go from here? The Republican nomination is in complete disarray. This, by itself, is not necessarily a train wreck for them – need I remind Democrats that at this point in our own nominating process four years ago, we were incapable of making a decision between Obama and Clinton?

No, here’s the train wreck, and the difference: four years ago, Democrats couldn’t make up their minds because our choices were both so damn good. Republicans today can’t make up their minds because each of their remaining four choices is so utterly and fundamentally flawed. The conservatives who make up the bulk of the Republican base hate Romney’s policies. Gingrich has made himself completely unlikeable to more mainstream establishment Republicans. Ron Paul is very busy being Ron “you kids get off my lawn” Paul. And Rick Santorum, being the new guy with the wind at his back, is about to have the worst three or four news cycles of his life, dealt him by Romney’s attack machine, which has all the cash.

Republican voters freshly supporting Santorum do so knowing very little about the man – they’re just opposing Gingrich and Romney. They’re about to know more about Santorum than Mr. Santorum ever wanted them to know.

Score: right-wing Republicans: 0, everybody else: 5

And that’s just a week. Have a great day, Republicans.

Update: oops, I forgot about this, the Proposition 8 ruling supporting Californians’ civil rights, despite me listing it in my head earlier before I got to my computer.

Score: Republicans: 0, everybody else: 6

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Why the Florida Republican primary is important, and why Paul and Santorum don’t matter

I know this may sound a bit odd coming from a Texan, especially after the other 49 states’ impression of Texas has now been altered to mean “25 million yahoos just like Rick Perry,” but Florida is totally weird. And that’s precisely why Florida is absolutely key to the Republican nomination for President.

It’s why you see Newt Gingrich talking about building a moon base – it’s to help gain support in space-crazed Florida by pandering to voters there. If Gingrich doubles down and also promises to move to the moon base, he’ll gain even more support among Florida Republicans.

It’s why you see Romney talking about Fidel Castro croaking. Extra credit for anybody who explains in the comments section what Mormons think happens to people after they croak, because Romney is hinting that it could be bad for Fidel.

And it’s why Santorum and Paul matter not one bit.

Florida Republicans apparently love breaking rules. They moved their primary date up in the batting order, which broke one RNC rule. As a result it has cost them half their delegation to the Republican National Convention. So they will presumably get 50 delegates instead of 99 delegates.

But here’s the other rule they broke, and it’s why nobody matters except Romney and Gingrich: it’s a winner-take-all state, not proportional. Nobody gets any delegates unless they come in first. So unless somebody goes to court and wins on that point, one of the leading candidates is about to go way ahead, with more delegates than all the previous states combined.

Ron Paul’s campaign recognizes that, and it’s why he’s not even competing in Florida, instead looking ahead to Nevada, Colorado, and Minnesota. Santorum is the odd man out — too serious a candidate to ignore such a major state, and not serious enough to reap any delegate benefit from it.

Add to that the fact that Florida is a big huge expensive complicated place, with expensive media markets, and you’ll see why the stakes are so high for Gingrich and Romney – it is not without considerable investment and organization that somebody is about to go down big.

Keep and eye on the Florida primary – it’s a big deal.

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Presidential primaries: what a difference a week makes

Doesn’t it seem like just yesterday when there were six major Republican candidates leaving New Hampshire heading full-steam to South Carolina, despite a near-universal feeling of inevitability of a Mitt Romney nomination?

Fast forward to today, voting day in South Carolina. Suddenly there are only four candidates instead of six. By all recent measures, Romney (AKA “Cayman Islands Tax Shelter Lay’er Off’er Dude”) is collapsing, and the guy with all the momentum is Gingrich (AKA “The Vagina Whisperer”).

Don’t get me to explaining Republican primary voters in South Carolina. But if you look at the history of Republican presidential primaries in South Carolina, it is clear that the state is where Republican candidates’ hopes and dreams go to die.

It appears that revelations of Mitt Romney’s tax shelter scheme have stopped his momentum, which really doesn’t surprise me. It probably doesn’t surprise many Texans who remember the 1990 Governor’s race here, in which Republican Clayton Williams was in the lead a few days out from the election, when he suddenly admitted that he hadn’t paid any taxes recently. In a related story, odds are that unless you’re reading this in Texas, you’ve never heard of Clayton Williams, and there’s a reason for that: he lost the election. Bet you’ve heard of the woman who beat him: Ann Richards. Voters don’t like rich guys who don’t fork over their fair share.

More surprising is the likelihood that evangelical voters in South Carolina are simply shrugging off revelations that Gingrich apparently told his second ex-wife that he wanted an open marriage. This, according to his second ex-wife, who before she was his second ex-wife, was his second wife, and before that, she was his first home-wrecker. She was replaced by his second home-wrecker, who is now his third wife Callista, and who will in all likelihood someday be known as his third ex-wife, to be traded for a third home wrecker to be named later, perhaps as a first round draft pick of future Newt staffers. Take notes and keep up, this is confusing.

Explanations for conservative evangelicals not caring about this sordid soap opera? Beats me. Maybe more people than I thought have second ex-wife problems. Maybe they believe Rush Limbaugh when he says Newt is the real victim here. Maybe Mittens’ tax issue is so pervasive that voters don’t care what Newt’s ex-wife says. Maybe Republican primary voters are more worried about the Second Amendment than the Seventh Commandment.

The news could not be better for President Obama’s campaign. The longer this Republican clown car process is in question, the better off Obama’s reelection efforts look.

No matter the results tonight in South Carolina, I still think Tax Shelter Dude has the edge over The Vagina Whisperer. Up next in the batting order of primary states is Florida, which for the geopolitically impaired, is a really big expensive complicated state. Gingrich has, so far, been unencumbered with such trifles as raising money and building a campaign infrastructure, which is a lot easier to get away with in smaller states with inexpensive media markets. Mittens should arrive in Florida with an advantage, if campaign mechanics mean anything in the Republican clown car show.

Meanwhile, Ron Paul (AKA “Dr. Wackadoodle”) hasn’t really caught on in South Carolina (but might still come in ahead of “Santorum The Hapless”) and is skipping Florida and looking ahead to early February, to Nevada, Colorado, and Minnesota.

Get more popcorn. The show’s not over yet. And the longer it drags on, the better the nicknames will get.

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Don’t think for a minute that I’m not above saying…

I told you so.

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